May 14

Deutsche Mark Rumour

We've been told today that Deutschmarks are being printed at a secure site in the North of Britain. Presume on the orders of the German government. If we hear more we will post updates.

May 12

Why Interest Rate Swaps are not Fixed Rate Loans

As noted in our previous article at the Guardian's Ripped Off Britons, Interest Rate Hedging is complex. Here we focus more on simple 'Vanilla' Swaps.
As many bank customers have found out to their peril, an Interest Rate Swap is not the same as a Fixed Rate Loan. Banks will tell you they are, they will give you the smooth sales patter about Swaps being better, more flexible, even portable. Banks also like to forget to mention the downsides and will brush away your concerns with a dismissive 'it's really like a fixed rate loan, but better'.
A fixed rate loan is much as it's says it is. Fixed in terms of Interest Rate and term, it exactly matches the loan. There may be early exit penalties but these are usually defined up-front and may be something like 1%-5% depending on how far you are into the loan. Of course when you repay the loan the Fixed Rate bit disappears as well.
There are of course downsides. You have a fixed rate, You will not benefit from falls in Interest Rates, but know what you are paying if rates rise.
If you life the lid on the mechanics of Fixed Rate Loans, they are actually made up of their darker cousins Interest Rate Swaps. Most banks insulate the customer from the mechanics by packaging it all up nicely for you. Others will expose you to the vagaries of the Swap market when you decide to get out. Make sure you read the small print!
Interest Rate Swaps themselves, though superficially similar are much more dangerous.
What is a Swap? They come in all shapes and sizes, but the main one that clients see are the Interest Rate Swaps where a client who is paying a variable (floating) rate, swaps this with the bank for a fixed rate.
 The lending bank doesn't have to be the same one doing the Hedging, though the tales about them being portable are misleading as banks don't want to take on each others risk and of course they would miss out on a juicy profit if they can't sell you a new one!
Swaps bring with them features and dangers. The most obvious is that you cannot benefit from falls in Interest Rates, like a Fixed Rate Loan this brings risks with it. You think you have effectively a fixed rate as you will pay the same if Interest Rate rise. This is true to an extent, But the bank may have hedged you in another Interest Rate type, for example LIBOR when you are borrowing on Base Rate. This introduces a new risk called Basis Risk where you get a mismatch between the two rates.
The Swap may not exactly match the loan. If you are repaying the loan you need to ensure that the Swap reduces in a very similar profile. You also need to match the Swap to the loan duration, If you pay it off early, the Swap and the liability it brings still exists.
Banks like to keep quiet about the exit costs. There's a good reason for this, they make a big profit as soon as they sell the Swap to you. They don't want you being spooked by telling you that it might cost you between 25%-50% of the loan value to get out early. This is called in bank speak 'mark to market' and is a real cost to the bank. However the greedy banker will most probably add a fat margin on top to pay for a new Porsche, so the true exit cost is probably lower than you are being quoted.
Swaps are actually a series of Interest Rate Options and are a form of Derivative. This means their value is based (hence derived) from something else. In the Interest Rate area this is the market for Interest Rates and is made up into the Yield Curve. This is literally a market in Interest Rate futures and serves a predictor as to where traders price rates in the future. This is not to be confused with a prediction of future rates. The Yield Curve can at times be volatile. This is of course completely opaque to the average customer and so the banks can use the Yield Curve to their advantage for example by appearing to offer a better rate for a longer term hedge, which in fact may have an even bigger profit margin for them. This is a complex area and we can expand on at another time.
The Swaps we have been talking about are comparatively simple and often known as 'vanilla' Swaps (i.e. without exotic flavouring). When they get more exotic the danger increases. They can be 'callable' (cancelled by either party, but generally the bank), extendable (so you may have it longer than you expected). And have all sorts of knock in and/or out barriers, steps etc. As a simple rule of thumb, simpler = better for the customer. Complex = better for the bank. The bank will never cancel or extend a structure if its in the client's favour to do so. Its just a trading position and you and the impact it might have on you does not matter to the bank.
Another differences between Fixed Rate Loans and Swaps is the independence of the debt to the Hedge. If you are a large corporate with revolving debt facilities with different maturities, a series of Swaps might be useful. If you are a small business with simple needs, something more straightforward would probably be simpler and safer. Of course it's in the bank's interests to push Swaps over Fixed Rate Loans. Banks make huge profits on them.
When a bank trades a Swap they make an immediate profit known in the trade as AV. This somewhat ironically stands for Added Value. To whom you might well ask?! The bank will take on some risk (this is why they want a credit line in place), but they will hedge their position with counterbalancing trades in the market. They will make further profits on restructure and exit. These profits are usually undisclosed to the ordinary client and are of course in addition to the lending margin, myriad fees and charges they will sneak in as well.
Being quick learners, bankers soon realised that they could vastly increase their profits by making hedges conditions of loans. They try the trick of saying they are not giving advice and hiding in the fine print that the client should get independent advice. As the recent BBC Radio show, The Report, illustrated there wasn't anywhere to get independent advice until recently.
How should you hedge your debt? Should you hedge it at all? Not all hedging is bad and can genuinely reduce risk to you and your business. Of course it all depends of the individual circumstances. Either way, beware of smiling bankers bearing complex Swaps, especially when you asked for a Fixed Rate Loan - they may actually be increasing your risk as well as making a hidden bonus for the banker from you.
       

May 03

Interest Rates Swaps being mis-sold to SMEs a layman's guide to a textbook banking rip-off

Interest Rates Swaps being mis-sold to SMEs a layman's guide to a textbook banking rip-off
This is published with the kind permission of the folks at the Guardians's Ripped-off Britons.
The more complicated the name - the worse it will be for the client and the better for the bank - remember the Casino rules: The House always wins.

Apr 18

Libor - A serious bit of Fraud

LIBOR Manipulation - how doping has spiked the lending market and robbed small businesses - Ripped Off Britons
Cleaning Up Libor - The Economist
The Libor Probe - The Economist
As the above articles demonstrate, all is not well with Libor. Libor is the 'London InterBank Offer Rate'. It's set by the British Bankers Association BBA at 11 am each day. It looks as if the banks have been manipulating it. Really there should be no surprise about this - banks can't be trusted. Of course the damage is being done to the small businesses that are locked in Interest Rate Swaps and other toxic instruments. We hear that there are worried bankers.....already working on defences. The head if the BBA has already 'retired'. It could be an interesting summer. Watch this space.
;

Apr 06

How Barclays Turned a Domestic Appliance shopkeeper into a Derivatives Trader

The BBC's Robert Peston reported on the 10 O'Clock News recently the plight of Paul Adcock, proprietor of Adcocks Domestic Appliances in Watton. It was really quite moving as Mr Adcock is the 4th generation of  his family to run the business and as he describes it he had "it has torn the soul out of the business".
Mr Peston also interviewed Abhishek Sachdev of Vedanta Hedging who've we've spoken to. The whole of Robert Peston's report can bee seen here. Mr Sachdev has explained the structure to us in some more detail.
As we understand it, the offending hedge was called an 'Asymmetrical Collar' which simply put actually increases Mr Adcock's Interest Rate risk as rates drop.  The way it's structured means that the bank has effectively made Mr Adcock sell a 'Digital Interest Rate Option' to the bank - this is what derivatives traders do and can be extremely dangerous.  We have heard from other sources that Barclays would have profited over £100,000 immediately on execution of the hedge. This is in addition to the profit Barclays make on the loan and regardless of what happens to interest rates. This paper profit would of course gone towards the bloated bonuses that are paid.
As we discover further details of how this odious structure works we will publish it here. If you have any further details you would like to share with us - please do get in touch. All of our sources are kept anonymous.
It does seem extraordinary that Barclays Capital, one of the premier league of Investment Banks, decided to trick Mr Adcock from Watton into being a derivatives trader. The motivation was not to hedge his risk, but clearly to fleece another unsuspecting client.

Apr 04

JP Morgan's Ian Hannam Resigns.....what's really happening?

Top JP Morgan banker Ian Hannam resigns over £450,000 fine for market abuse
The FSA fine on Mr Hannan is fascinating. You can read the full FSA decision here. The FSA are being sloppy as they haven't added the decision to Mr Hannan's disciplinary record as yet.
The key distinction here is what is Market Abuse. The definition is quite broad, but covers Insider Dealing, Improper disclosure, misuse of information, manipulation of transactions, as well as giving misleading information. Market Abuse is a Civil offence so the test is 'on the balance of probabilities'. The more serious offence of Insider Trading is a Criminal Offence and hence requires a test of 'beyond reasonable doubt'.
The FSA say that Mr Hannan disclosed insider Information. So why didn't they prosecute him for Insider Trading? - this can carry a jail sentence of up to 7 years. Was it because of a cosy 'deal'. Or was it because it's easier to prove Market Abuse?
If you think any of this is new, the FSA has also fined David Einhorn  £3,638,000, Andrew Osborne £350,000, Alexander Ten-Holter  £130,000 and Nicholas Kyprios £210,000 recently for offences. These individuals were all senior and held positions of influence.
We welcome these fines. But corrupt bankers and their paymasters should be jailed.
The rot in the financial services world isn't just a few rotten apples - it's a whole orchard.
 

Mar 26

A list of recent Financial Scandals

A summary of some scandals from Dempster in the Daily Telegraph today in the comments section. We've no idea who Dempster is, but they are right. Of course you need to add in most of the Banks to this list as well.
Banks over time have proved themselves to be incapable of competence. Actually this is wrong. It's just theft and fraud by another name.
Thank you Dempster for reminding us all.
   
 
Perhaps this is a good time to remind ourselves of other financial innovations:
Endowment policies, Personal equity plans Equity release schemes Private pensions Precipice bonds Absolute return funds Payment protection insurance Self certification 125% mortgages Unfair bank charges Unfair mortgage penalty charges
And now: : Interest rate swaps
In fact not a week elapses when some financial institution is reported to have ripped someone off; remember:
Arch Cru Equitable Life, Keydata, Farepak, Crown Currency, GP Noble Trustees, Tudor Capital Management, UK Expatriates fund, GFX Capital, Meteor Asset Management Defined Returns Ltd Nursing Home Fees Agency
to name but a few.

Mar 22

Interest Rate Swap Mis-Selling - the next big scandal?

We've been watching the unfolding story about Banks mis-selling Interest Rate Swaps or 'Hedges' under the guise of 'protection' for some time. There are predictions that this could be the next banking mis-selling scandal.
These 'Hedges' are based on complex financial derivatives. For a fuller explanation of what a derivative is, read this. What the banks have been doing is using complex financial instruments to generate enormous profits from unsuspecting clients. Most of these clients are small businesses or individuals who have borrowed money from the bank and the bank has insisted on some form of interest rate protection.
This all seems to make sense. A charming and suave 'risk advisor' - that means salesman, earning huge commissions, they then bamboozle the client and after a quick chat on the 'phone the client is suddenly diversified from their core business into being Derivative Traders!
Derivative Traders - how come? Well, the banks are often getting the poor client to unwittingly sell derivative 'Options' as part of the deal. Option selling is the most dangerous form of derivative activity there is.
Not only are the clients being hoodwinked, they are being lied to. They are told these hedges can be transported, reused, sold on, and most tellingly 'exited'. This is key, they can be exited, but at a huge cost. This can be up to 50% and in addition to the loan value. Let's put that in perspective: You borrow £1million to build a new factory. 12 months later you can repay the loan - this you do. But the 'hedge' still exists - you ask to exit this and the bank tells you this will be another £500k! If you had known this up-front would you have agreed - no way. This is just one of the tricks banks pull - the next one is claiming that they weren't giving advice, but the business rang up out of the blue and asked for one of these exotic instruments themselves, so the bank was acting in an Execution Only capacity. Hogwash.
There have been a fascinating series of articles in the Daily Telegraph, mostly written by Harry Wilson and Richard Tyler. The implausibly named 'Wicked Willy' Fish bar who were sold a complex derivative - they sued their bank (HSBC) but a gagging order prevents any further details being published. Barclays have just had to apologise to the FSA for attempting to gag their clients in these cases. We've also heard tales of faked meeting notes by banks and clients pleading to 'just have a fixed rate loan', not to mention hedges so complex that specialists have been called in to explain how it all works. We spoke to Abhishek Sachdev of Vedanta Hedging, who the BBC's Robert Peston Interviewed. Mr Sachdev explained that his business gives independent advice to businesses about hedging (just like the banks say you must have in the small print), but much of the company's time is spent helping out clients who have been mis-sold Swaps and other hedges.
Given the interest that is being generated here, not only in the media but also in Parliament and the FSA, we think this could be the next huge mis-selling scandal. The worrying thing is this is really whole livelihoods at risk and businesses are being made insolvent by banks. We watch with interest - hedged interest of course!

Mar 16

The Goldman Sachs Company Song by Pink Floyd?

The Goldman Sachs PR disaster has been providing much amusement to all. We've been contacted by an insider who knows GS very well and suggested that the classic track by Pink Floyd, Dogs, from their album Animals would be a very appropriate Company Song for Goldmans and their 'muppet' clients.
We've reproduced some of the lyrics (with thanks to Roger Walters and Dave Gilmour). They are remarkably prescient. GS strangely have declined to comment.
From Dogs, by Pink Floyd (Waters, Gilmour) 1976
You gotta be crazy, you gotta have a real need. You gotta sleep on your toes, and when you're on the street, You gotta be able to pick out the easy meat with your eyes closed. And then moving in silently, down wind and out of sight, You gotta strike when the moment is right without thinking.
And after a while, you can work on points for style. Like the club tie, and the firm handshake, A certain look in the eye and an easy smile. You have to be trusted by the people that you lie to, So that when they turn their backs on you, You'll get the chance to put the knife in.

Mar 14

Goldman Sachs - just a bit tarnished?

Why I Am Leaving Goldman Sachs by Greg Smith

This article from the New York Times comes as no surprise. It's just a surprise that it hasn't come before. Revelations about 'GS' are not new, but the timing of this is fascinating.
GS is a bit like the Freemasons - you can't actually leave. You might move on, but they remember you. You will be tracked and they will have their pound of flesh. We admire Mr Smith for taking a stand, but warn him to look very carefully...
What's even funnier has not been the media reaction, but the clumsy bit of PR drafting by the GS team refuting the claims. What a useless PR team they have! Lloyd C. Blankfein is too busy 'doing God's work' to write this himself, but what's even more shocking is that he must have read it, but still let it go out. They haven't learnt - he doesn't get it.
Mr Blankfein claims not to recognise what Mr Smith is saying, but this not new. GS was described by Senator Carl Levin when he investigated them that he '“found a financial snake pit rife with greed, conflicts of interest, and wrongdoing”
Horror stories about GS are not hard to find. Unhappy clients are everywhere, disgruntled employees usually have their mouths filled with gold...literally.
Will this event have changed anything? The Vampire Squid lives, but maybe it's just a bit more tarnished.

Mar 12

All that glitters isn't always Gold

Gold as an investment commodity tends to divide people into two camps. Those that love it and those that can't see the point.
Gold has a long history. It's shiny and attractive and also scarce. Gold's ease of working and physical properties has led to its use in both jewellery and industry. Of course Gold has been used as a currency for millennia and is often cited as a good hedge against inflation.
The value of Gold, like anything, is what people are prepared to pay for it. The price is more driven by emotion than real supply and demand. It behaves more like a currency than a commodity and is also a non-productive asset as it doesn't give you dividends and can cost money to store and insure. Many people love it still.
Perhaps Gold's greatest value is our fixation with it as a safe haven for wealth. If there's inflation, Gold will still hold value and despite it's weight is quite transportable. Of course Gold bugs will cite it as just being a good investment. Indeed the more people want it, the more the price will rise.
There's lots of ways of buying Gold. You can buy into Gold companies, funds, certificates and even ETFs. Ishares perhaps being the best known market leaders with their physically backed Gold ETF. If you want to own the physical stuff and don't want to pay high street jewellery prices there are online brokers who offer pricing, research and trading, for example Bullionvault who also allow you to withdraw physical Gold from their vaults.
Even if you are not a believer in the new 'Gold Rush', should you buy Gold? Modern Portfolio Theory of course advocates Diversification and Commodities are one area for this. Of course if the price goes up you win, if it plummets - well you can make something nice out of it!

Mar 04

The Queen's banker fired?

There is much moaning and groaning going on in the hostelries near Coutts Private Bank Headquarters at 440 The Stand in London. This malaise has spread to the regional offices as well. The reason that such a tight lipped organisation is leaking so badly? People are being fired.
It may come as a surprise to those of you who think a smart cheque book and lots of subservience are something special.  Coutts has long ago lost its place as a top tier private bank. This is because RBS acquired it sometime ago and their woefully inadequate management have reduced it to little more than a premier service. Michael Morley, the ex-Barclays & Merrill Lynch has been drafted in sometime ago to sort out the sinking ship.
Coutts have had a laughable investment proposition. Many of their products they pedal are taxed to income rather than Capital gains. There has been appalling performance and of course the scandal of AIG. The best bankers have left of their own accord in droves - as have many of the clients.
Coutts best asset is its brand. They play up 'the Queen's banker' thing. We understand from insiders that this is not quite as true as they would have you believe and other Private Banks have been muscling in on the Royal wallets for some time.
Coutts is set to announce some enormous job losses soon. We understand that in some offices this will amount to 50% of the staff being fired. The service levels will take a further dive and who knows, the Queen's banker - whoever she or he may be, may soon be selling the Big Issue outside Buckingham Palace, rather than trying to sell Her Majesty another structured product.

Feb 28

Barclays 'Gilty' Secrets

Barclays hit the headlines again for swindling the tax payer out of millions of pounds. They have form in this area and are past masters at complex structures deliberately designed to avoid tax. Sure they will claim it's 'legal', in terms of letter of the law, but in truth their approach is even more cynical than this.
When they are dreaming up their grubby little schemes, they go through a very thorough process of taking legal advice from The City's leading tax lawyers and expert Barristers in the area. The question is not 'is this legal', but also how long have we got before the loophole get's closed. In other words, they know what they are doing is wrong, but realise that it takes time for bureaucracies to move, draft and enact legislation to close the schemes down.
The bank also uses its slick marketing to flog this stuff to retail investors, most noticeably through its premier service for the 'affluent', Barclays Wealth. Buried amongst the terms and conditions are get out clauses for Barclays such as 'get independent tax advice'. But the sales process includes little pearls as 'no need to put this on your tax return, 'doesn't need to be declared', 'not classified as a tax avoidance scheme' and finally 'only for clients of Barclays Wealth'. This last approach is exactly what Bernie Madoff did - create some exclusivity to help sell it.
Perhaps the best known of these schemes was Barclays Gilt Warrants. A spokesperson for Barclays confirms that 'hundreds of millions of pounds worth of these have been sold' and that they 'help UK resident clients avoid tax on their investments'. The source also adds that Barclays Management (included Bob Diamond) loved these products as they very quickly raised revenue through their 'steep fees'.
The Gilt Warrant is quite a complex structured product. It is Derivative based and the client gives up dividends in return for a level of protection and we understand that at maturity it auto exercises into a UK Gilt, hence the tax treatment.
Of course when HMRC finally catches up with the people Barclays sold this to, Barclays will claim the clients were making informed choices and understood the risks. They will be left to the mercey of HMRC. If you've bought a Gilt Warrant from Barclays - you've been warned.
This is just one of Barclays 'Gilty' little secrets.

Feb 24

Fraud at Threadneedle

FSA orders report from Threadneedle on rogue trade

This is a worrying report in The Daily Telegraph. Despite our usually hawkish stance at the lax standards at banks and funds, we are heartened by the system working, or at least appearing to do so. Of course what happens next is key. The FSA is generally quite poor at implementing real penalties. It is after all run by bankers, for bankers!

Feb 23

RBS Bonuses - Are we the idiots?

Now, the news is RBS is paying out £785m in bonuses and makes a £1.1Bn loss - the sums here don't work. £1.1Bn - £785M = £315m loss if you don't pay the bonuses. No our maths are wrong, RBS received £20Bn alone in the first round of bank bailouts.....why any bonuses until this is repaid?
Who are the idiots here? The Suits at RBS who take tax payers money and lined their pockets, the Government for not noticing or the tax payer for putting up with this?
As the 16th Century French writer Montaigne said "Man is certainly stark mad; he cannot make a flea and yet he will be making gods by dozens".
Bankers are not gods. They are mostly normal folk making a living. Some are thieves. They earn well and take little risk. The politicians love the tax revenues and non-exec jobs + internships they provide. Tax payers are directly paying bonuses - why?
Are we the idiots?
   

Feb 09

What Bankers should remember at bonus time

Bonus season is approaching. Lots of hot air and headlines about this already. The claims of the need to pay for talent are weak at best, the pay for performance doesn't stack up either. See this article here.  Remember a bonus is a bonus - NOT a right

Jan 11

Feeding the Dragon - the world of M&A

Ex-mergers and acquisitions banker: 'There's no time for friends'
This is an excellent article by Joris Luyendijk on the world of M&A or Mergers and Acquisitions as it's known in full. Often regarded as the most 'sexy' part of Investment Banking, it's well known for it's gruelling hours and barbaric working practices. This article gives an insight.
One of the key things that Banks do is flatter the ego of CEO's and influence them to make acquisitions. Fat fees depend on it. Just look at RBS, did they get impartial advice that ABN AMRO was a dud? No, their advisers had too much at stake.  See here for what CEO's really do.
There's a great story about an Analyst in M&A in London who received a 'phone call at 1am from the head of an investment bank who was visiting Hong Kong saying he wanted a pile of research by 7am the next morning. The Analyst pleaded that they had been up two nights in a row already, to the which the big chief said 'Do you know who I am?' the Analyst replied 'yes I do Sir, but you don't know who I am!' and slammed the 'phone down and ran out the office!
The mega salaries and fat fee drive this market. CEO's want to be seen as empire builders. Acquisitions are an easy, if expensive way to grow a business and a bonus. You didn't expect rationality did you?

Dec 29

Banks standards when lending to business customers

We've been asked to give some coverage by Bigmouthmedia to the attached PDA on Lending principles for larger businesses about best practice in Bank lending to businesses. This is produced by Better Business Finance which appears to be a bank supported body. Clearly it was produced in response to the criticism that banks weren't doing enough to help business and the BBA decided to do something about it. The BBA is the bank's apologetic trade mouthpiece.
To be honest there is nothing startling in it. But we think it's better than nothing.  We'd be interested to hear your views. Do banks play by the rules on this?

Dec 22

Hooray! Bankers and their Christmas bonuses.

This article written by us was first published by the folks at the Guardian's Ripped Off Britons. Please find the link here:

Christmas is a time for giving bankers their bonuses. A festive guest blog from a trading floor in the City

Hooray! We the bankers of Britain will soon be getting our richly deserved  Christmas Bonuses! You ripped-off Britons should be grateful. Without our bonuses, we would have already abandoned you and emigrated to Switzerland to flash our cash in the milk bars, get drizzled with premium chocolate, and ski. Competitor banks are always waving their wads under our noses. We’re not greedy. If we were greedy, we’d have gone already.  Of course every silver lining has a cloud. The biggest problem with the bonus is how to spend it. A new Porsche? Mega-flat, school fees, credit card bill, something shiny from Tiffany's? And if some slackers don’t get a bonus, at least there is a free cup of coffee and some drama too (see later).

Much has been written about the bonus culture and the excesses of the banking system. How is it that in these austere times banks are making so much profit they can pay huge bonuses again? Without doubt being a banker can be one of the most lucrative jobs going. Not only is there a healthy salary, lots of fringe benefits, but also the motivation of the juicy bonus.

There are long hours and lots of stress, but there’s also a nice air-conditioned office and a subsidised canteen. Not really a hardship spending long hours in this environment.

Many bankers are there for the intellectual stimulation, but really most are not there for charitable reasons or to make the world a better place – it’s all about profit.

Pay in the fancy lingo of Human Resources is known as compensation. This starts to give an insight into the motivation of workers in general and bankers in particular. Compensation in this context is payment for the bankers’ skills and time. The fixed element of a banker’s pay is the salary and the bonus is the variable part.

The salary is the agreed rate for the job. This is driven allegedly by ‘market conditions’, but it’s really about how much the banker has been able to negotiate, or in reality how much the headhunter has over sold the banker in order to increase their fee (typically up to 40% of the salary). Even better if they have negotiated a ‘guaranteed’ bonus. This means that a banker will be paid a bonus regardless of performance - nice work if you can get it!

Guarantees are used as sweeteners to aid the pain of moving from one bank to another. The reality is you may have to give up your bonus at one bank when you leave, so it’s a bribe really. Signing bonuses are another nice wheeze - new job, fancy title, a big pile of cash upfront. You don’t even need to perform for a couple of years by which time you will be ready for another move anyway! Wow, Christmas has come early!

Just as Santa is hard at work in the workshop with the elves making toys and deciding who gets them, the banks’ bonus committees are doing the same thing.

Typically the bonus committee is made up of senior bankers and departmental heads with input from HR, compliance, legal etc. It’s actually a totally pointless exercise as it will have been decided who is getting a good bonus and who isn’t. The point of all the hangers-on at this bloated meeting is firstly ‘inclusion’ - makes people feel important - and secondly to ensure that there is the appearance of a rigorous process in place.

This appearance of process is actually important. If it can’t be shown that there is rigor, the bank is leaving itself open to claims of discrimination. In fact most banks have now put some weasel words into their employment contracts about bonuses being discretionary. They also go to great lengths to emphasis the rigor of the process, but also to make it as opaque as possible. They go even further by prohibiting staff from discussing bonuses and making doing so a sackable offence.

The criteria that are really used are as follows:

·        Do we want to retain them?

·        Have they made us money?

These two things decide your bonus. If you’ve had a huge year but they want to get rid of you, you will get a ‘price signal’ by a small or zero bonus and thence a free cup of coffee at your ‘exit interview’. Alternately if they want to retain you, you may get a better bonus that you expected. All the other criteria, rankings, scoring systems are just smoke and mirrors and people justifying their jobs.

So what has your average banker done to earn a bonus? To paraphrase a well known economic dictum ‘profit is just reward for risk taken’. The average banker has taken no risk. What’s the worst that can happen to them? Get fired? Maybe at the very extreme, end up in prison? Bank bosses have proven themselves very adept at avoiding blame and responsibility as they say in the USA when a settlement is made the bank in question neither “admit nor deny doing anything wrong”, though a US judge has recently censured Citigroup and SEC for a cosy settlement like this. Robert Khuzami, the director of enforcement at the SEC, complained about the judge's comments, saying the judge ignored "decades of established practice throughout federal agencies and decisions of the federal courts". Most unreasonable, I think you will agree!

Even when a bank is sunk it is bailed out by the taxpayer. On this measure most bankers who take no personal risk don’t deserve a bonus. Also given the recent crisis in the Eurozone it’s been suggested that bankers forgo bonuses this year in order to shore up their balance sheet for the forthcoming storm. Of course just as a parasite ultimately destroys its host, the avaricious banker would rather have their bonus now, hang the bank, hang the economy, and hang the consequences.

Bankers, as they eye their Christmas list will argue that they may have made money for the bank, but they have made nothing of value. Trading exotic derivatives doesn’t add value, it creates risk. Making a loan to a small business enables the company to create value. But is no more wealth creating in itself that the supply of other utilities such as electricity or water.

Bankers will bleat about being competitive. HSBC one year paid no bonuses and they are still doing rather well (and no doubt will still be paying bonuses despite the recent Pensioner rip-off scandal - happy Christmas Grandma!). This is the crux of the problem. Bonuses in the finance world have become a right. They are not a right, they are exactly what they say they are - a bonus. The problem is the culture of excess, greed and entitlement that runs deep through the veins of our bankers.

What happens when people don't get the bonus they expect? Well the whole spectrum of reactions from silence, through to anger, even violence (mainly to inanimate objects: table been turned over, drink spilled). Most often it's harsh words and then sharpen up the CV followed by a stiff drink and more swearing! Occasionally people raise a formal grievance with the process (which can never be won, as the bank sits at judge and jury), which is really just a precursor to resigning.  With the current atmosphere in the city, people are likely just to be grateful to have a job going forward. We know of quite a few bankers who are 'on notice' of redundancy and they are just trying to get through each day/week. When people are being given the bonus or being fired news, they are often given a discreet tap on the shoulder, or a call and asked to come to a room. Everybody knows what's happening and it leads to a hideous atmosphere - real 'night of the long knives' stuff.

We have seen people come out of the 'bonus' meeting and shout obscenities across the floor. This will probably only happen when the market is buoyant and they have another job lined up, as you are going to get fired for it.

Banks of course take precautions against vengeful mischief. There may be a security guard close by, an HR person to hand you tissues or even a referral to an employee helpline if you are seen as being at risk of self-harm. The bank just wants minimum fuss and to protect its position. To avoid any drama you will be gone before you know it. When that happens people are literally either frog marched out of the building by burly security guards, or if there is a lower risk, they will be escorted discretely back to their desk to clear personal items and then shown the door.

I've sat on a trading floor and watched people being picked off around me - most not coming back. It's awful and intimidating - exactly what the bank wants as they want compliance and submission - you are just there to make money. Don't think or have emotions for goodness sake! But hell, we don’t look for sympathy, just for someone else to pay us a bonus.

Assuming it's good news, i.e. you have a job and/or a bonus, you will be told sternly about not discussing it with anyone. Headhunters usually have the best knowledge of what's actually been paid as they benefit from the fall out.

All the paperwork will be ready, so you can be got rid of quickly. Most banks have surveillance systems which can extend not only to monitoring your email and calls, but listening to desk conversations (usually covertly by CCTV in the ceiling). It's really like East Germany under the Stasi!

Bob Diamond summarised this attitude very well this year to the House of Commons Finance Select Committee when he said: “the biggest issue is how do we put the blame game behind us? There was a period of remorse and apology for banks – that period needs to be over”.  Enough saying sorry, time to move on, time to take a bonus. It’s hardly the Christmas spirit is it? Happy Christmas Bob. Happy Christmas Bankers. Hooray, it’s bonus time again!

 

Dec 17

Are Hedge Funds run by Liars or Thieves?

Liebrary: Hedge funds consistently deliver higher returns, NOT

This is a fascinating article published by the folks at the Guardian's Ripped-off Britons.
Hedge fund managers love to blow their own trumpets - when successful. But they don't always tell the truth when taking your money out of the till and lining their own pockets.
They are past masters at flash presentations, smooth talking, impressive offices. As the manager of a multi billion pound pension fund recently said to us: "I never understand that when they come and see me they are always in a fleet of limousines, but when I go and see them, they seem surprised that I came by tube".  He went on to add that this profligacy is just one reason why he doesn't invest with them.
Many are seduced by the hedge fund story: superior returns, unconstrained by regulation. Not open to everyone - just a 'sophisticated' investor like you......Smooth talking and a well practiced sales patter. Follow that with 'total return' - we will make you money when the market falls - except they don't.
There will be fund managers that dispute this - of course you will. Survivorship bias is well documented and hedge funds are guilty of this. They of course are great at charging fees, and locking up your money - how else are you going to pay for their lavish lifestyles?
If you invest in a hedge fund, look closely at it. Is it run by a liar or a thief?
Update: More relevant articles here and here.

Older posts «